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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?

Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Polymarket traders priced "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?" at 23% as of Sep 22, 2026, 15:34 UTC.

As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 4690431. Method and limitations.

Yes probability
23%
24h change
-9.5pp
Volume
$110K
Resolves by
Oct 1, 2026
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Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

History in numbers

Since Sep 21, 2026, this market has traded between 18 percent (Sep 22, 2026) and 55 percent (Sep 21, 2026), across 57 recorded prices.

Lifetime high
55%
Lifetime low
18%
Recorded prices
57

Market liquidity

Best bid
22%
Best ask
24%
Mid
23%
Spread
2.0pp
Bid depth within 1%
$0
Ask depth within 1%
$0

The best bid for YES is 22 percent and the best ask is 24 percent, a spread of 2.0 percentage points. Within 1 percent of the mid price the book holds $0 on the bid side and $0 on the ask side.

A tighter spread means the two sides agree more closely on the price. Depth indicates how much can trade near the current price.

Order book captured 2026-09-22 15:45 UTC.

Other outcomes in this event

Yes probability
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?36%Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?13%Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?9%Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?4%Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?4%Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?2%Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?2%Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?1%

Market details

Lifetime volume
$110K
24h volume
$62K
Liquidity
$55K
Resolution date
Oct 1, 2026
Category
Macro

Venues: Polymarket

How this market resolves

The market currently prices the YES outcome at 23 percent, with the NO outcome at 77 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.

Resolution rules, as published by Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading ...

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Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.

Background reading

The US macro regime, explainedReadWhat is the yield curveRead

Evergreen explainers from Kresmion Learn on how prediction-market prices work.

Cite this data

Kresmion stores the venue's YES price on a fixed capture schedule. The figures here are those stored prices and the differences between them, not a Kresmion estimate.

Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 4690431

Kresmion, "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? (prediction market probability)", data as of 2026-09-22, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-wti-reach-100-in-september-2026-from-september-18. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 4690431.

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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-09-22 15:34 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.

Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.