Kresmion signals archive
206 cross-asset signals fired across commodity, crypto, equity, forex, macro. See also the Kresmion brief for 2026-07-12.
commodity (22)
Wheat volume spike - 4.5× the 20-day average (150,447 vs 33,476 avg)
Coffee volume spike - 11.5× the 20-day average (31,069 vs 2,702 avg)
Cocoa volume spike - 7.8× the 20-day average (26,149 vs 3,357 avg)
Coffee bear 10.7% vs prior close ($356.95 → $318.60)
OSINT: 500 ex‑Wagner mercenaries form criminal enterprise in CAR
Bakken (ND): drought conditions detected - potential oil supply impact
Oil +3.71%: significant gain on the session
Corn bull 7.8% vs prior close ($427.75 → $461.00)
OSINT: Explosions rock Strait of Hormuz near Qeshm Island
OSINT: Global Oil Market Alert Signals Economic Ripple
Brazil Minas Gerais: crop water stress detected (2.7σ above baseline) - potential KC=F supply pressure
OSINT: Iran's IRGC says it attacked US carrier refueling platforms at Oman's Duqm
Cotton bull 4.9% vs prior close ($76.16 → $79.92)
Soybeans volume spike - 2.1× the 20-day average (118,100 vs 55,494 avg)
Gold volume spike - 2.2× the 20-day average (1,842 vs 838 avg)
Corn volume spike - 2.3× the 20-day average (292,843 vs 126,272 avg)
Wheat bull 4.7% vs prior close ($611.25 → $640.25)
RBOB Gasoline bear 5.5% vs prior close ($2.98 → $2.82)
OSINT: US-Iran Nuclear Deal by August Seen at 11% Likelihood
OSINT: Iranian attacks may have caused US casualties, OSINT suggests
OSINT: U.S. Southern Transit Corridor via Oman Remains Open, JMIC Advises
OSINT: Ukrainian Drones Ignite Russia's Syzran Oil Refinery
crypto (141)
OP open interest -60.5% - OI collapse
SUI open interest +117.5% - OI surge
ATOM open interest -45.8% - OI collapse
UNI open interest -56.0% - OI collapse
BCH open interest -34.8% - OI collapse
ARB open interest +107.1% - OI surge
DOT open interest -53.9% - OI collapse
XRP open interest -66.2% - OI collapse
DOGE open interest -21.4% - OI collapse
INJ open interest -65.8% - OI collapse
LINK open interest +131.0% - OI surge
ADA open interest +237.9% - OI surge
AVAX open interest +34.7% - OI surge
TIA open interest -71.4% - OI collapse
APT open interest -76.6% - OI collapse
LTC open interest -36.1% - OI collapse
NEAR open interest -64.1% - OI collapse
KMNO funding -0.0221% · 1th percentile of its 92d Binance history
BTC open interest +21.2% - OI surge
SOL open interest +79.1% - OI surge
ETH open interest +181.7% - OI surge
IO open interest +406.3% - OI surge
TNSR open interest -90.8% - OI collapse
SEI open interest -80.8% - OI collapse
STRK open interest +70.0% - OI surge
JUP open interest -78.4% - OI collapse
ENA open interest +23.7% - OI surge
JTO open interest -60.0% - OI collapse
KMNO open interest +98.8% - OI surge
W open interest -60.7% - OI collapse
PYTH open interest -77.1% - OI collapse
EIGEN open interest +244.6% - OI surge
ME open interest -87.4% - OI collapse
DRIFT open interest -38.0% - OI collapse
APT open interest +332.8% - OI surge
DOT open interest -53.2% - OI collapse
TIA open interest -78.9% - OI collapse
INJ open interest -73.7% - OI collapse
BCH open interest -34.3% - OI collapse
LINK open interest -43.1% - OI collapse
NEAR open interest +202.8% - OI surge
OP open interest -63.0% - OI collapse
AVAX open interest -73.0% - OI collapse
ATOM open interest -76.5% - OI collapse
ARB open interest -55.1% - OI collapse
ADA open interest +144.1% - OI surge
SUI open interest -41.2% - OI collapse
UNI open interest +125.0% - OI surge
LTC open interest -62.0% - OI collapse
XRP open interest -81.2% - OI collapse
DOGE open interest +173.7% - OI surge
ETH open interest +201.7% - OI surge
BTC open interest +84.5% - OI surge
SOL open interest -51.8% - OI collapse
JUP open interest +65.3% - OI surge
ME open interest -31.8% - OI collapse
PYTH open interest +103.2% - OI surge
W open interest -61.3% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest +240.0% - OI surge
KMNO open interest +91.2% - OI surge
SEI open interest -80.8% - OI collapse
ENA open interest -87.6% - OI collapse
STRK open interest +39.0% - OI surge
JTO open interest +74.6% - OI surge
DRIFT open interest -36.8% - OI collapse
EIGEN open interest +232.1% - OI surge
IO open interest -54.4% - OI collapse
LINK open interest +299.2% - OI surge
DOT open interest -47.5% - OI collapse
AVAX open interest +152.9% - OI surge
SUI open interest -63.5% - OI collapse
APT open interest +295.8% - OI surge
XRP open interest -77.7% - OI collapse
OP open interest +30.7% - OI surge
BCH open interest +232.3% - OI surge
NEAR open interest +177.0% - OI surge
LTC open interest -34.9% - OI collapse
INJ open interest -83.0% - OI collapse
ATOM open interest +671.7% - OI surge
ARB open interest +124.2% - OI surge
UNI open interest -50.6% - OI collapse
TIA open interest +60.6% - OI surge
ADA open interest +40.8% - OI surge
DOGE open interest +157.7% - OI surge
SOL open interest -51.5% - OI collapse
ETH open interest +220.1% - OI surge
BTC open interest -31.9% - OI collapse
KMNO open interest -47.6% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest +888.1% - OI surge
JUP open interest +36.8% - OI surge
SEI open interest -81.1% - OI collapse
EIGEN open interest -20.0% - OI collapse
IO open interest -52.8% - OI collapse
JTO open interest -29.5% - OI collapse
DRIFT open interest +61.3% - OI surge
STRK open interest +134.9% - OI surge
PYTH open interest +116.6% - OI surge
ME open interest -76.4% - OI collapse
W open interest -80.8% - OI collapse
ENA open interest +86.8% - OI surge
SUI open interest +59.8% - OI surge
LINK open interest +303.9% - OI surge
BCH open interest -80.3% - OI collapse
DOT open interest +551.1% - OI surge
INJ open interest -65.7% - OI collapse
DOGE open interest -70.2% - OI collapse
ATOM open interest -76.2% - OI collapse
AVAX open interest +136.0% - OI surge
UNI open interest +282.1% - OI surge
TIA open interest -66.2% - OI collapse
ADA open interest -74.3% - OI collapse
LTC open interest -35.9% - OI collapse
OP open interest -70.3% - OI collapse
NEAR open interest -66.5% - OI collapse
XRP open interest -67.2% - OI collapse
APT open interest -74.8% - OI collapse
ARB open interest -71.8% - OI collapse
SOL open interest -26.5% - OI collapse
ETH open interest -65.8% - OI collapse
BTC open interest +83.9% - OI surge
SEI open interest -81.3% - OI collapse
STRK open interest +136.5% - OI surge
DRIFT open interest -36.8% - OI collapse
EIGEN open interest -72.2% - OI collapse
KMNO open interest -47.1% - OI collapse
TNSR open interest -66.4% - OI collapse
ENA open interest +55.5% - OI surge
PYTH open interest -29.4% - OI collapse
JTO open interest -28.7% - OI collapse
JUP open interest +62.9% - OI surge
W open interest -80.9% - OI collapse
ME open interest -87.2% - OI collapse
IO open interest +125.8% - OI surge
ADA funding -0.0201% · 4th percentile of its 175d Binance history
OSINT: US Companies Hold 92.7% of Global Corporate Bitcoin, Add 510K BTC in Year
OSINT: Japan Yen Weakens, BoJ Signals More Rate Hikes Amid Surge in Bankruptcies
AVAX funding -0.0237% · 2th percentile of its 175d Binance history
ADA funding -0.0204% · 4th percentile of its 175d Binance history
AVAX funding -0.0214% · 2th percentile of its 175d Binance history
OSINT: Eric Trump Highlights Ethereum Surge After $30B Market‑Cap Gain
OSINT: Large Binance Whale Moves $100M+ of ETH and WBTC Out of Exchange
equity (20)
Uber Technologies, Inc search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
OSINT: Supergirl becomes DC’s lowest‑grossing major film since 2004
RTX Corp search volume spiked +31 pts - unusual interest
GAP INC search volume spiked +93 pts - unusual interest
Sanofi search volume spiked +35 pts - unusual interest
Uber Technologies, Inc search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
OSINT: Japan Yen Weakens, BoJ Signals More Rate Hikes Amid Surge in Bankruptcies
RTX Corp search volume spiked +31 pts - unusual interest
Sanofi search volume spiked +35 pts - unusual interest
Uber Technologies, Inc search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
RTX Corp search volume spiked +31 pts - unusual interest
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 46.5% - EPS $2.33 vs $1.5902 estimate
Q3-2026: Beat consensus by 5.5% - EPS $1.28 vs $1.2138 estimate
Q1-2026: Missed consensus by 104.9% - EPS $-73.15 vs $-35.7 estimate
Q4-2025: Beat consensus by 5.7% - EPS $-52.5 vs $-55.692 estimate
Bond issued at elevated rate 6.75% - credit-stress signal
Sanofi search volume spiked +35 pts - unusual interest
Uber Technologies, Inc search volume spiked +100 pts - unusual interest
OSINT: Eric Trump Highlights Ethereum Surge After $30B Market‑Cap Gain
RTX Corp search volume spiked +31 pts - unusual interest
macro (11)
OSINT: McConnell office releases photo, denies hospital rumors
OSINT: Iranian attacks may have caused US casualties, OSINT suggests
OSINT: US-Iran Nuclear Deal by August Seen at 11% Likelihood
OSINT: Iranian attacks may have caused US casualties, OSINT suggests
china_us_west shipping +7.1% - potential inflation signal
china_us_west shipping +7.1% - potential inflation signal
OSINT: Cardboard Harrier Cutout Mentioned at Sports Event
OSINT: U.S. Southern Transit Corridor via Oman Remains Open, JMIC Advises
china_us_west shipping +7.1% - potential inflation signal
OSINT: Ukrainian Drones Ignite Russia's Syzran Oil Refinery
china_us_west shipping +7.1% - potential inflation signal
forex (6)
OSINT: McConnell office releases photo, denies hospital rumors
OSINT: US-Iran Nuclear Deal by August Seen at 11% Likelihood
OSINT: Iranian attacks may have caused US casualties, OSINT suggests
OSINT: Japan Yen Weakens, BoJ Signals More Rate Hikes Amid Surge in Bankruptcies
OSINT: U.S. Southern Transit Corridor via Oman Remains Open, JMIC Advises
OSINT: Eric Trump Highlights Ethereum Surge After $30B Market‑Cap Gain