Central Bank of Turkey: TRY policy rate

Kresmion dates the last change from the stored policy-rate series (to the day inside the daily window, else to the month), computes the 12-month net change between two month-end levels, and lists a Polymarket market only when its question names this bank and its policy rate. Nothing here is a forecast by Kresmion.

• The rate is the level the bank has set, from the BIS policy rate series or, where that series has stalled or lags a fresh decision, from the bank's own published register (named in the first figure).
• BIS publishes policy rates with a lag of several days. A decision made this week may not show yet, except where a fresher official source is wired (marked in the Source column).
• The 12-month cycle is the net change between the month-end level 12 months ago and the level now: positive is hiking, negative is cutting, zero is on hold. The counts are the changes recorded inside that window; a month-precision change can net several decisions made in one month.
• The next scheduled decision is shown only where Kresmion holds the bank's own calendar (the Federal Reserve's FOMC calendar). For other banks it reads "not published" and the bank's calendar is linked.
• A Polymarket market is listed here only when its question names this bank and is about its policy rate. Prices are crowd prices, not a forecast by Kresmion.