PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
Resolved YES · Nov 5, 2026
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Part of: Bank of Mexico Decision in November?. This market has settled. Every price on this page is a dated historical record.
"Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?" resolved Yes on Nov 5, 2026; the market last priced it above 99% on Nov 5, 2026.
The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution. The settlement date is the venue's own close timestamp; the scheduled end is the date the market was listed to close, which can differ.
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How this market resolved
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specifie...
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Cite this data
Kresmion stored this market's YES price from the venue on a fixed capture schedule until settlement. The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution; the percentages are those stored prices, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 3388092
Kresmion, "Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? (settled prediction market record)", data as of 2026-11-05, https://kresmion.com/odds/bank-of-mexico-decreases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-november-2026-meeting-1786030375139. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 3388092.
Link to this data (HTML):
<a href="https://kresmion.com/odds/bank-of-mexico-decreases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-november-2026-meeting-1786030375139">Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? (settled prediction market record) (Kresmion)</a>
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, recorded by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not an order book.
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