PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
Resolved NO · Oct 11, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
This market has settled. Every price on this page is a dated historical record.
"Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET" resolved No on Oct 11, 2026.
The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution. The settlement date is the venue's own close timestamp; the scheduled end is the date the market was listed to close, which can differ.
How this market resolved
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
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Cite this data
Kresmion stored this market's YES price from the venue on a fixed capture schedule until settlement. The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution; the percentages are those stored prices, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 5503281
Kresmion, "Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET (settled prediction market record)", data as of 2026-10-11, https://kresmion.com/odds/btc-updown-15m-1791728100. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 5503281.
Link to this data (HTML):
<a href="https://kresmion.com/odds/btc-updown-15m-1791728100">Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET (settled prediction market record) (Kresmion)</a>
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, recorded by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not an order book.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.