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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?" at 3 percent YES, down 12.1 points in the last 24 hours, on $73K of lifetime volume.

Yes probability
3%
24h change
-12.1pp
Volume
$73K
Resolves by
Aug 29, 2026
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Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

History in numbers

Since Aug 28, 2026, this market has traded between 3 percent (Aug 29, 2026) and 16 percent (Aug 29, 2026), across 13 recorded prices.

Lifetime high
16%
Lifetime low
3%
Recorded prices
13

Market liquidity

Best bid
3%
Best ask
3%
Mid
3%
Spread
0.2pp
Bid depth within 1%
$0
Ask depth within 1%
$0

The best bid for YES is 3 percent and the best ask is 3 percent, a spread of 0.2 percentage points. Within 1 percent of the mid price the book holds $0 on the bid side and $0 on the ask side.

A tighter spread means the two sides agree more closely on the price. Depth indicates how much can trade near the current price.

Order book captured 2026-08-29 06:29 UTC.

Other outcomes in this event

Yes probability
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?96%

Market details

Lifetime volume
$73K
24h volume
$61K
Liquidity
$5K
Resolution date
Aug 29, 2026
Category
Other

Venues: Polymarket

How this market resolves

The market currently prices the YES outcome at 3 percent, with the NO outcome at 97 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.

Resolution rules, as published by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 06:29 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.

Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.