GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Part of: GTA 6 launch postponed again?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Polymarket traders priced "GTA 6 launch postponed again?" at 2% as of Nov 9, 2026, 15:54 UTC, down from 3% a week earlier.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Aug 6, 2026, this market has traded between 1 percent (Nov 8, 2026) and 13 percent (Aug 23, 2026), across 3,046 recorded prices. The current price of 2 percent is 0.5 percentage points below where it stood 7 days ago (3 percent), and 1.5 percentage points below where it stood 30 days ago (4 percent).
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | 7% |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 7% |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 7% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 6% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 6% |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 5% |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 4% |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 4% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | 2% |
| Nov 9, 2026 | 2% |
Market details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 2 percent, with the NO outcome at 98 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
More other markets
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Background reading
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Cite this data
Kresmion stores the venue's YES price on a fixed capture schedule. The figures here are those stored prices and the differences between them, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 668591
Kresmion, "GTA 6 launch postponed again? (prediction market probability)", data as of 2026-11-09, https://kresmion.com/odds/gta-6-launch-postponed-again. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 668591.
Link to this data (HTML):
<a href="https://kresmion.com/odds/gta-6-launch-postponed-again">GTA 6 launch postponed again? (prediction market probability) (Kresmion)</a>
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-11-09 15:54 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.