PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
Resolved NO · Sep 16, 2026
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
Part of: Anthropic IPO by __?. This market has settled. Every price on this page is a dated historical record.
"Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?" resolved No on Sep 16, 2026; the market last priced it below 1% on Sep 16, 2026, and below 1% seven days earlier.
As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 2421095. Method and limitations.
The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution. The settlement date is the venue's own close timestamp; the scheduled end is the date the market was listed to close, which can differ.
Probability path
Last recorded YES price of each day, Aug 22, 2026 to Sep 16, 2026. Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent.
From Aug 22, 2026, recorded YES prices ranged from below 1% (Sep 7, 2026) to 11% (Aug 22, 2026), across 852 recorded prices.
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | 2% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 1% |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 0% |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 0% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 0% |
How this market resolved
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live markets in the same event
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Other settled outcomes in this event
Settled markets from the same event, with the venue's recorded outcome and settlement date.
More finance markets
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Recently settled finance markets
Dated records of markets that have settled, newest first.
Background reading
Evergreen explainers from Kresmion Learn on how prediction-market prices work.
Cite this data
Kresmion stored this market's YES price from the venue on a fixed capture schedule until settlement. The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution; the percentages are those stored prices, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 2421095
Kresmion, "Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? (settled prediction market record)", data as of 2026-09-16, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-anthropic-ipo-by-september-15-2026-415. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 2421095.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, recorded by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not an order book.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.