Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Part of: Crude Oil all time high by...?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?" at 2 percent YES, on $1.2M of lifetime volume.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Jun 2, 2026, this market has traded between 2 percent (Aug 25, 2026) and 23 percent (Jun 2, 2026), across 1,234 recorded prices. The current price of 2 percent is 0.1 percentage points below where it stood 7 days ago (2 percent), and 3.9 percentage points below where it stood 30 days ago (6 percent).
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | 23% |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 8% |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 6% |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 4% |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 3% |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 3% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 3% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 2% |
Other outcomes in this event
Yes probabilityMarket details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 2 percent, with the NO outcome at 98 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 06:29 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.