Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Part of: OpenAI IPO by...?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
As of Aug 24, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?" at 17 percent YES, down 1.0 points in the last 24 hours, on $916K of lifetime volume.
One message when it happens. Nothing else. No account needed.
Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Aug 20, 2026, this market has traded between 16 percent (Aug 22, 2026) and 22 percent (Aug 20, 2026), across 152 recorded prices.
Market details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 17 percent, with the NO outcome at 83 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
More finance markets
Live markets in the same category, priced by the same venue.
Background reading
Evergreen explainers from Kresmion Learn on how prediction-market prices work.
Get the smart money brief
Insider trades, 13F flows, and cross asset positioning reads with the source on every number, in your inbox when there is something in the data, or live on Telegram. Free, no account.
No fixed schedule: it goes out when the data has something in it. Unsubscribe anytime.
Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-24 18:08 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.