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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Part of: OpenAI IPO by...?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

As of Aug 24, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?" at 17 percent YES, down 1.0 points in the last 24 hours, on $916K of lifetime volume.

Yes probability
17%
24h change
-1.0pp
7d change
-3.5pp
Volume
$916K
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Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

History in numbers

Since Aug 20, 2026, this market has traded between 16 percent (Aug 22, 2026) and 22 percent (Aug 20, 2026), across 152 recorded prices.

Lifetime high
22%
Lifetime low
16%
Recorded prices
152

Market details

Lifetime volume
$916K
24h volume
$2K
Liquidity
$5K
Category
Finance

Venues: Polymarket

How this market resolves

The market currently prices the YES outcome at 17 percent, with the NO outcome at 83 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.

Resolution rules, as published by Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-24 18:08 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.

Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.