PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
Resolved NO · Sep 19, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Part of: Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?. This market has settled. Every price on this page is a dated historical record.
"Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?" resolved No on Sep 19, 2026; the market last priced it below 1% on Sep 19, 2026.
As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 4489675. Method and limitations.
The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution. The settlement date is the venue's own close timestamp; the scheduled end is the date the market was listed to close, which can differ.
Probability path
Last recorded YES price of each day, Sep 16, 2026 to Sep 19, 2026. Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent.
From Sep 16, 2026, recorded YES prices ranged from below 1% (Sep 17, 2026) to below 1% (Sep 16, 2026), across 83 recorded prices.
How this market resolved
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Live markets in the same event
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Other settled outcomes in this event
Settled markets from the same event, with the venue's recorded outcome and settlement date.
More other markets
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Recently settled other markets
Dated records of markets that have settled, newest first.
Background reading
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Cite this data
Kresmion stored this market's YES price from the venue on a fixed capture schedule until settlement. The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution; the percentages are those stored prices, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 4489675
Kresmion, "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? (settled prediction market record)", data as of 2026-09-19, https://kresmion.com/odds/elon-musk-of-tweets-september-15-september-22-2026-80-99. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 4489675.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, recorded by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not an order book.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.