Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

Part of: Putin out as President of Russia by...?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability

18%

24h change

-1.5pp

7d change

-0.5pp

Volume

$60K

Resolves by

Dec 31, 2026

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Other outcomes in this event

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?10%Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?4%Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?2%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.