PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
Resolved YES · Sep 9, 2026
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?
Part of: Foldable iPhone Announced Price?. This market has settled. Every price on this page is a dated historical record.
"Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?" resolved Yes on Sep 9, 2026; the market last priced it above 99% on Sep 9, 2026.
As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 4223470. Method and limitations.
The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution. The settlement date is the venue's own close timestamp; the scheduled end is the date the market was listed to close, which can differ.
How this market resolved
Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other settled outcomes in this event
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More other markets
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Recently settled other markets
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Cite this data
Kresmion stored this market's YES price from the venue on a fixed capture schedule until settlement. The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution; the percentages are those stored prices, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 4223470
Kresmion, "Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? (settled prediction market record)", data as of 2026-09-09, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-the-first-announced-price-of-the-foldable-iphone-be-at-least-1800. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 4223470.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, recorded by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not an order book.
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