PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
Resolved NO · Sep 9, 2026
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
Part of: Foldable iPhone Announced Price?. This market has settled. Every price on this page is a dated historical record.
"Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?" resolved No on Sep 9, 2026; the market last priced it below 1% on Sep 9, 2026.
As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 4223471. Method and limitations.
The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution. The settlement date is the venue's own close timestamp; the scheduled end is the date the market was listed to close, which can differ.
How this market resolved
Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other settled outcomes in this event
Settled markets from the same event, with the venue's recorded outcome and settlement date.
More finance markets
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Recently settled finance markets
Dated records of markets that have settled, newest first.
Background reading
Evergreen explainers from Kresmion Learn on how prediction-market prices work.
Cite this data
Kresmion stored this market's YES price from the venue on a fixed capture schedule until settlement. The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution; the percentages are those stored prices, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 4223471
Kresmion, "Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? (settled prediction market record)", data as of 2026-09-09, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-the-first-announced-price-of-the-foldable-iphone-be-at-least-2000. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 4223471.
Get the smart money brief
Insider trades, 13F flows, and cross asset positioning reads with the source on every number, in your inbox when there is something in the data, or live on Telegram. Free, no account.
No fixed schedule: it goes out when the data has something in it. Unsubscribe anytime.
Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, recorded by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not an order book.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.