PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Part of: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

Yes probability
3%
7d change
-0.7pp
Volume
$11.8M
Resolves by
Nov 7, 2028

Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

Other outcomes in this event

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?42%Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?27%Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2%Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-07-15 00:23 UTC. Trade on the venue itself: this page is research context, not an order book. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.