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PREDICTION MARKET ODDS

Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.

As of Aug 29, 2026, Polymarket prices "Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?" at 22 percent YES, up 3.0 points in the last 24 hours, on $425K of lifetime volume.

Yes probability
22%
24h change
+3.0pp
7d change
-1.0pp
Volume
$425K
Resolves by
Jan 1, 2027
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Probability history

Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.

History in numbers

Since Aug 19, 2026, this market has traded between 14 percent (Aug 23, 2026) and 40 percent (Aug 19, 2026), across 307 recorded prices. The current price of 22 percent is 4.0 percentage points below where it stood 7 days ago (26 percent).

Lifetime high
40%
Lifetime low
14%
7 days ago
26%
Recorded prices
307

Other outcomes in this event

Yes probability
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?49%Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?24%Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?16%Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?14%Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?10%Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?9%Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?7%Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?5%

Market details

Lifetime volume
$425K
24h volume
$9K
Liquidity
$24K
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027
Category
Crypto

Venues: Polymarket

How this market resolves

The market currently prices the YES outcome at 22 percent, with the NO outcome at 78 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.

Resolution rules, as published by Polymarket

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-08-29 08:39 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.

Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.