Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Part of: Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?. Crowd probability estimates from prediction markets, not financial advice.
Polymarket traders priced "Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?" at 54% as of Sep 25, 2026, 12:50 UTC.
As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 4885967. Method and limitations.
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Probability history
Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent. History covers the recorded price path of the YES outcome.
History in numbers
Since Sep 24, 2026, this market has traded between 54 percent (Sep 25, 2026) and 64 percent (Sep 25, 2026), across 19 recorded prices.
Other outcomes in this event
Yes probabilityMarket details
Venues: Polymarket
How this market resolves
The market currently prices the YES outcome at 54 percent, with the NO outcome at 46 percent. This is read as the crowd's probability estimate for this event, not a forecast or advice.
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
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Cite this data
Kresmion stores the venue's YES price on a fixed capture schedule. The figures here are those stored prices and the differences between them, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 4885967
Kresmion, "Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? (prediction market probability)", data as of 2026-09-25, https://kresmion.com/odds/saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-by-october-15. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 4885967.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, synced by Kresmion. Last updated 2026-09-25 12:50 UTC. This page is research context, not an order book. Kresmion accepts no orders and holds no funds. Percentages are YES prices and can move fast.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.