PREDICTION MARKET ODDS / RESOLVED
Resolved YES · Sep 15, 2026
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?. This market has settled. Every price on this page is a dated historical record.
"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?" resolved Yes on Sep 15, 2026; the market last priced it above 99% on Sep 15, 2026, and at 15% seven days earlier.
As of . Source: Polymarket gamma API, market 3954346. Method and limitations.
The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution. The settlement date is the venue's own close timestamp; the scheduled end is the date the market was listed to close, which can differ.
Probability path
Last recorded YES price of each day, Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 15, 2026. Gridlines at 25, 50 and 75 percent.
From Sep 1, 2026, recorded YES prices ranged from 6% (Sep 1, 2026) to above 99% (Sep 15, 2026), across 485 recorded prices.
Weekly closes
| Week start | YES probability |
|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | 18% |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 74% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 100% |
How this market resolved
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery...
Live markets in the same event
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Other settled outcomes in this event
Settled markets from the same event, with the venue's recorded outcome and settlement date.
More macro markets
Live markets priced by the same venue, with their latest YES price.
Recently settled macro markets
Dated records of markets that have settled, newest first.
Background reading
Evergreen explainers from Kresmion Learn on how prediction-market prices work.
Cite this data
Kresmion stored this market's YES price from the venue on a fixed capture schedule until settlement. The outcome is the venue's recorded resolution; the percentages are those stored prices, not a Kresmion estimate.
Upstream: Polymarket gamma API, market 3954346
Kresmion, "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? (settled prediction market record)", data as of 2026-09-15, https://kresmion.com/odds/will-wti-reach-105-in-september-2026. Upstream data: Polymarket gamma API, market 3954346.
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Source: Polymarket via the public gamma API, recorded by Kresmion. This market is settled, so the figures on this page are a historical record kept for research context, not an order book.
Kresmion reports prediction market prices as market data. We are not an operator of any prediction market, we take no positions and hold no funds, and nothing on this page is an invitation to trade on any venue. Prediction markets are not authorised in every jurisdiction. Check the rules that apply where you are before using one.